Bangladesh General Elections 2026: Voting Today – Crucial Turn for India & Regional Strategy
Dhaka/New Delhi, February 12, 2026
Bangladesh holds historic parliamentary polls today (Feb 12) – first since Sheikh Hasina’s 16-year rule ended. ~13 crore voters decide new government plus vote on “July Charter” constitutional referendum.
Bangladesh = India’s strategic security & economic pivot:
Northeast Security: Hasina cracked down on Indian insurgent groups (ULFA). Will new govt continue cooperation or allow anti-India activities?
China’s Growing Sway: Beijing investments exceed $10B (₹83,000cr). Pro-China tilt threatens India’s Indian Ocean interests.
Minority Safety: Recent Hindu attacks worry New Delhi about secularism protection.
| Party/Alliance | Leader | India Stance |
|---|---|---|
| BNP | Tarique Rahman | Historically mixed, now signaling improved ties |
| Jamaat-e-Islami (11-party) | Shafiqur Rahman | Hardline ideology; India’s biggest red line |
| National Citizen Party (NCP) | Student leaders | Youth-led nationalism; tough on India |
BNP polls: 33%, Jamaat: 29% per IRI survey
BNP Victory: India hopes for relationship reset
Jamaat Influence: Risks religious extremism + Pakistan-China axis
India adopts pragmatic approach – neighbors can’t be changed, but security red lines remain non-negotiable.
Results Timeline: Counting starts 4:30 PM today, final outcome expected Feb 13 morning