Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls: NDA Takes Strong Lead Across 9 Surveys — Here’s the Full Breakdown

Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls: NDA Takes Strong Lead Across 9 Surveys — Here’s the Full Breakdown

 

The second and final phase of the Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 has concluded, and with voting now over, major TV networks and polling agencies have released their exit poll projections. These polls offer an early indication of how the 243-seat Bihar Assembly could shape up when votes are counted.

Bihar voted in two phases this year — the first on November 6 across 121 constituencies, and the second on November 11, covering 122 seats in 20 districts. Counting of votes will take place soon, but for now, exit polls suggest that the NDA (National Democratic Alliance), led by the BJP and JD(U), is headed for a comfortable majority.

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🔹 Exit Poll Results 2025 – Survey-Wise Breakdown

1. MATRIZE Exit Poll

• NDA: 147–167

• Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance): 70–90

• JSP: 0–2

• Others: 2–8

2. Dainik Bhaskar Exit Poll

• NDA: 145–160

• Grand Alliance: 73–91

• JSP: 0–3

• Others: 5–7

3. NDTV Exit Poll

• NDA: 133–159

• Grand Alliance: 75–101

• JSP: 0–5

• Others: 2–4

4. JVC Exit Poll

• NDA: 135–150

• Grand Alliance: 88–103

• JSP: 0–1

• Others: 3–6

5. Chanakya Strategies Exit Poll

• NDA: 130–138

• Mahagathbandhan: 100–108

• JSP: 0

• Others: 3–5

6. People’s Insight Exit Poll

• NDA: 133–148

• Grand Alliance: 87–102

• JSP: 0–2

• Others: 3–6

7. People’s Pulse Exit Poll

• NDA: 133–159

• Grand Alliance: 75–101

• JSP: 0–5

• Others: 2–8

8. DV Research Exit Poll

• NDA: 137–152

• Grand Alliance: 83–98

• JSP: 2–4

• Others: 1–8

9. TIF Research Exit Poll

• NDA: 145–163

• Mahagathbandhan: 76–95

• JSP: 0

• Others: 3–6

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🔸 NDTV “Poll of Polls” Summary

Combining data from multiple surveys, NDTV’s Poll of Polls estimates:

• NDA: 146 seats

• Mahagathbandhan: 90 seats

• JSP: 2 seats

• Others: 5 seats

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🔹 What the Numbers Indicate

Across all nine exit polls, the NDA appears to maintain a clear lead, consistently crossing the majority mark of 122 seats in most projections. The Mahagathbandhan, led by the RJD and Congress, trails behind, while smaller regional outfits like JSP seem unlikely to make a significant impact.

If these projections hold true on counting day, the NDA could return to power in Bihar with a strong mandate, consolidating its political presence ahead of the 2026 Lok Sabha preparations.